Martin Henze
As Assad’s dictatorship falls, Putin’s Regime is running out of time. Like the USSR before it, some of the first symptoms of Russia’s impending demise are detectable in Moscow’s foreign allies & endeavors.
Vladimir Putin’s “three day war” in Ukraine, now having passed 1,000 days, may have triggered a “cascading failure” that is costing the Russian dictator all of his political capital: The entire world sees that Putin has economically & militarily overextended his country, leaving Russia impotent to credibly confront threats to its allies abroad.
In the Middle East, the Kremlin yesterday clarified that there were no plans to save the Assad regime, as the Syrian Army abandoned their positions so quickly that they left behind weapons, aircraft, & intelligence documents. Hezbollah, recently turned-upside-down by incredible Israeli operations to eliminate its leadership, does not appear to be fighting to rescue the Syrian dictatorship. Meanwhile, the Russian Army appears to be ditching their Syrian bases as the Russian Navy has already set sail from the Syrian naval base where they had been stationed. Losing Syria, how does Russia operate in Africa?
The African dictatorships recently born of Russian intelligence-backed coups are having problems: Burkina Faso’s increasingly tense situation yesterday forced the dictator to dismiss the Prime Minister and Government while Russian mercenaries in Mali continue to be regularly killed by insurgents.
In the Americas, one-time Soviet-backed Cuba is now facing a “severe energy crisis,” after it had its third total blackout in two years and Nicaragua’s Ortega yesterday expelled more dissidents fearing an overthrow of his autocracy.
Russia, seeking to manipulate European elections, is facing pushback. The pro-European parties & referendum won in Moldova. However, the same strategy Russia unsuccessfully tried in Moldova did succeed in Romania’s presidential elections, which were overturned by the courts. However, though it initially appeared to be a success, protests in Georgia, a country that is 20% illegally occupied by Russia, are growing due to the pro-Russian government’s success in stealing the elections there.
Moscow is silent as its global allies are struggling.
In Russia itself, the possibility of the total collapse of the Russian economy soon is very real. In just one day last week, the Ruble lost more than 10% of value, inflation is > 27%, key interest rate will soon reach 25%, there are increasing shortages of basic goods as their prices sky rocket (ex: the price of potatoes has grown 72%) making staples unaffordable in a country where the average family spends > 50% of income on food (in contrast, it’s usually about 15% of income in Europe).
👉 If history is but prologue, then the collapse of Soviet-backed socialism in Eastern Europe, as Moscow was unable to economically or militarily support its allies, may well foreshadow what we can expect to see next transpire in Russia.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ As Assad’s dictatorship falls, Putin’s Regime is running out of time. Like the USSR before it, some of the first symptoms of Russia’s impending demise are detectable in Moscow’s foreign allies & endeavors.
Vladimir Putin’s “three day war” in Ukraine, now having passed 1,000 days, may have triggered a “cascading failure” that is costing the Russian dictator all of his political capital: The entire world sees that Putin has economically & militarily overextended his country, leaving Russia impotent to credibly confront threats to its allies abroad.
In the Middle East, the Kremlin yesterday clarified that there were no plans to save the Assad regime, as the Syrian Army abandoned their positions so quickly that they left behind weapons, aircraft, & intelligence documents. Hezbollah, recently turned-upside-down by incredible Israeli operations to eliminate its leadership, does not appear to be fighting to rescue the Syrian dictatorship. Meanwhile, the Russian Army appears to be ditching their Syrian bases as the Russian Navy has already set sail from the Syrian naval base where they had been stationed. Losing Syria, how does Russia operate in Africa?
The African dictatorships recently born of Russian intelligence-backed coups are having problems: Burkina Faso’s increasingly tense situation yesterday forced the dictator to dismiss the Prime Minister and Government while Russian mercenaries in Mali continue to be regularly killed by insurgents.
In the Americas, one-time Soviet-backed Cuba is now facing a “severe energy crisis,” after it had its third total blackout in two years and Nicaragua’s Ortega yesterday expelled more dissidents fearing an overthrow of his autocracy.
Russia, seeking to manipulate European elections, is facing pushback. The pro-European parties & referendum won in Moldova. However, the same strategy Russia unsuccessfully tried in Moldova did succeed in Romania’s presidential elections, which were overturned by the courts. However, though it initially appeared to be a success, protests in Georgia, a country that is 20% illegally occupied by Russia, are growing due to the pro-Russian government’s success in stealing the elections there.
Moscow is silent as its global allies are struggling.
In Russia itself, the possibility of the total collapse of the Russian economy soon is very real. In just one day last week, the Ruble lost more than 10% of value, inflation is > 27%, key interest rate will soon reach 25%, there are increasing shortages of basic goods as their prices sky rocket (ex: the price of potatoes has grown 72%) making staples unaffordable in a country where the average family spends > 50% of income on food (in contrast, it’s usually about 15% of income in Europe).
👉 If history is but prologue, then the collapse of Soviet-backed socialism in Eastern Europe, as Moscow was unable to economically or militarily support its allies, may well foreshadow what we can expect to see next transpire in Russia.
👉 It will then also affect the Russian Putin-orientated satellite states such as Serbia or corrupt autocrats such as Rama / Albania. In Albania, the autocracy, led by the criminal Rama, who has felt legitimised by falsified elections since 2013, is in power. A puppet of Belgrade, in the hands of Putin. His time, Rama’s time, too, is over. His regime is finished.
